Will "The Waluigi Effect" post on LessWrong receive >=800 karma by March 31st?
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resolved Apr 1
Resolved
NO

Resolves "Yes" if the https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/D7PumeYTDPfBTp3i7/the-waluigi-effect-mega-postwal has >= 800 karma at 06:00 GMT on 3/31/23.

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It didn't have >= 800 karma at 06:00 GMT, which has now already passed. Resolve NO.

why does this article continuously refer to GPT-4, which hasn't been released yet

@BrendanFinan Written based on belief that Bing/Sidney is GPT-4.

A belief that turned out to be true, I might add.

predictedYES

@rockenots yes, advance predictions should increase credibility.

https://manifold.markets/IsaacKing/is-bings-chatbot-gpt4

easy bet

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