
Konstantine Sadov
closes Mar 31
1.9%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves "Yes" if the https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/D7PumeYTDPfBTp3i7/the-waluigi-effect-mega-postwal has >= 800 karma at 06:00 GMT on 3/31/23.
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Martin Randallis predicting YES at 2%
@rockenots yes, advance predictions should increase credibility.
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YES shares
520
467
457
84
70
NO shares
5,105
898
278
256
107
100
22



















Anish Upadhayay
Will "The Waluigi Effect (mega-post)" reach >=1k upvotes on LessWrong by the end of 2023?
johnleoks
Will any Vaush video posted in March reach 250k views or more within the same month?
johnleoks
Will any Vaush video posted in March reach 150k views or more within the same month?
johnleoks
Will any Vaush video posted in March reach 200k views or more within the same month?
johnleoks
Will any Vaush video posted in March reach 225k views or more within the same month?
johnleoks
Will any VaushPit (Vaush's 2nd channel) video posted in March reach 125k views or more within the same month?
johnleoks
Will Vaush's main channel reach 6.5 million views or more in March?
johnleoks
Will Vaush's main channel reach 6 million views or more in March?
johnleoks
Will Vaush's short "republicans should be barred from public office" reach 15k views by 3/24 9 A.M. PST?
johnleoks
Will Vaush's video "Vaush Describes The PERFECT Batman Story" reach 40k views by 3/22 9 A.M. PST?
Anish Upadhayay
Will "The Waluigi Effect (mega-post)" reach >=1k upvotes on LessWrong by the end of 2023?
johnleoks
Will any Vaush video posted in March reach 250k views or more within the same month?
johnleoks
Will any Vaush video posted in March reach 150k views or more within the same month?
johnleoks
Will any Vaush video posted in March reach 200k views or more within the same month?
johnleoks
Will any Vaush video posted in March reach 225k views or more within the same month?
johnleoks
Will any VaushPit (Vaush's 2nd channel) video posted in March reach 125k views or more within the same month?
johnleoks
Will Vaush's main channel reach 6.5 million views or more in March?
johnleoks
Will Vaush's main channel reach 6 million views or more in March?
johnleoks
Will Vaush's short "republicans should be barred from public office" reach 15k views by 3/24 9 A.M. PST?
johnleoks
Will Vaush's video "Vaush Describes The PERFECT Batman Story" reach 40k views by 3/22 9 A.M. PST?