Will "The Waluigi Effect" post on LessWrong receive >=800 karma by March 31st?
1.9%
chance

Resolves "Yes" if the https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/D7PumeYTDPfBTp3i7/the-waluigi-effect-mega-postwal has >= 800 karma at 06:00 GMT on 3/31/23.

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BrendanFinan avatar
Brendan Finan

why does this article continuously refer to GPT-4, which hasn't been released yet

MartinRandall avatar
Martin Randallbought Ṁ10 of YES

@BrendanFinan Written based on belief that Bing/Sidney is GPT-4.

rockenots avatar
rockenots

A belief that turned out to be true, I might add.

MartinRandall avatar
Martin Randallis predicting YES at 2%

@rockenots yes, advance predictions should increase credibility.

https://manifold.markets/IsaacKing/is-bings-chatbot-gpt4

dmayhem93 avatar
dmayhem93bought Ṁ50 of YES

easy bet