Will I be the wealthiest Proofnik in portfolio value by EOY?
18
129
330
resolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO

One second, just, uh, copying @Conflux's market description...

Okay so I have ~31.7K in portfolio value (is actually more like 33K because of markets that are sure to resolve YES but it doesn't realize). I believe this is the second-highest out of all Proofniks? Above me is @Conflux at ~43.3K, and notable people close to me (I think... just stealing from this market) are @8 at ~19.7K portfolio, and @JoshuaB at ~19.8K. (Notable people who are close to me in spirit include @audrey at ~1.5K, haha, I don't promote bullying @Conflux started it don't sue me pls)

So my betting method according to @Conflux is "bet [big] on gambles and your profit's in shambles", as opposed to @stq's "bet against the extremes mostly for the memes" and @Conflux's "bet 'em small and bet 'em all". By this I mean that a lot of my profit comes from really big and risky bets that could make or break, and somehow have wound up pretty josh darn lucky on 'em.

Resolves as expected. If by the end of 2023 I have taken the top spot in portfolio value (out of all current and former Proofniks known to be on Manifold), resolves YES, otherwise NO. If somehow I am tied with 1 or more Proofniks for the top spot, tiebreaker goes to highest profit, then otherwise I just resolve YES because percentages are kinda lame. This market does not consider bugs or blatant manipulations towards its resolution. (Which means it considers non-blatant manipulations, so send me the mana discreetly!)

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predicted YES

Do I consider @8's portfolio value to be a bug? It's technically correct but was created through some bug/glitch/exploit (I assume).

@cece Mind PMing me on Discord? I have a proposal for you.

IsaacKing#7376

@IsaacKing ISAAC DONT

predicted NO

@IsaacKing "This market does not consider bugs or blatant manipulations towards its resolution."

predicted YES

@Conflux @Wobbles no it was about a different market (dw we didn't manipulate anything)

@cece don't get into a drama, Isaac is good at that

predicted YES

aren't you not a proofnik

predicted YES

@astyerche i keep hearing this phrase in america that goes something like "go away" /s

in reality i meant, like, past/current proofniks

predicted YES

Why am I not in the list of notable people that are close?

predicted YES

@Wobbles tell you what, if that proofnik market of yours resolves yes, i'll change the list