Will there be a US government shutdown before the end of 2024?
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Jan 1
1%
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The United States has a history of government shutdowns. The last US government shutdown was between Dec 2018 and Jan 2019.

For the purposes of this question, a "government shutdown" must involve furloughing of workers. For example, the brief shutdown on 9 Feb 2018 lasted only a few hours and did not furlough government workers, and so would not count.

This question resolves YES if a government shutdown involving furloughed workers happens, and otherwise resolves NO when the year ends (midnight EST).

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Shutdown? More like the shitdown!!! Resolving this market to Manifold standards or I will be coming after it legaltistically speaking!

if something has a deadline before it happens, and the deadline passes, the something happens

@PaulHan did you read the description for this one?

nothing ever happens...

bought Ṁ50 NO from 59% to 56%
bought Ṁ120 YES

Biden will not sign it for you.

reposted

lol. lmao

bought Ṁ50 YES

@Marnix wanna bet more at 48%?

@Bayesian not really. Was just doing some very slight arbing at 51 😛

Surely this time, right guys?

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