Will there be a US government shutdown before the end of 2024?
69
803
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2025
20%
chance
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1W
1M
ALL
The United States has a history of government shutdowns. The last US government shutdown was between Dec 2018 and Jan 2019.
For the purposes of this question, a "government shutdown" must involve furloughing of workers. For example, the brief shutdown on 9 Feb 2018 lasted only a few hours and did not furlough government workers, and so would not count.
This question resolves YES if a government shutdown involving furloughed workers happens, and otherwise resolves NO when the year ends (midnight EST).
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