Will Pope Leo XIV cease to be pope before the end of 2025?
8
100Ṁ731Dec 31
1.5%
chance
9
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question resolves YES if Pope Leo XIV (Robert Francis Prevost) ceases to be pope of the Roman Catholic Church for any reason before the end of 2025.
See also:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Pope Leo XIV cease to be pope before 2030?
17% chance
In what year will Leo XIV cease to be pope?
Will Pope Leo XIV give a p(doom) estimate in a public statement before January 1, 2026?
2% chance
Will Pope Leo XIV openly criticize Trump in 2025?
66% chance
Will Trump say something negative about Pope Leo XIV before May 8 2026?
80% chance
Will the next pope visit the United States by the end of 2025?
35% chance
Will the pope launch a coin by the end of 2025?
4% chance
Will the next Pope last until the end of Trump's 2nd term?
97% chance
Which country will the next Pope following Pope Leo XIV be from?