In what year will Leo XIV cease to be pope?
4
1.3kṀ402073
4%
2041
3%
2038
3%
2039
3%
2037
3%
2036
3%
2035
2%
2034
2%
2040
2%
2048
2%
2047
2%
2046
2%
2045
2%
2044
2%
2033
2%
2043
2%
2042
1.8%
2025
1.8%
2026
1.8%
2027
1.8%
2028
This market resolves to the calendar year in which Pope Leo XIV (Robert Francis Prevost) ceases to be pope, whether by death, resignation, or deposition. The resolution source will be a public announcement by the Vatican or other clearly authoritative reporting (e.g. major international news organizations).
Note: The year is determined by the effective date of his departure, not the date of announcement or funeral.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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