Why is wicked for good the favorite? Presale numbers?

@generalconsensus yeah (1) if wicked 2 can ~match the pace of wicked 1, then that should be enough to pass minecraft, & (2) the presale numbers look good, so (1) + (2) is the main story here.

there's still a fair amount of uncertainty with that story—you could imagine a sequel being much more frontloaded (since awareness is much higher), so beating the original's OW might not imply it keeps pace (as wicked 1 had insanely strong domestic legs, so if people are just a little less enthusiastic about wicked 2 it might not hold as well).

@Ziddletwix understood thank you! What’s the best resource for pre sale numbers?

@Ziddletwix NO order for minecraft @ 30% up (or YES for wicked at 28%)

@Ziddletwix shucks i misread another market and filled your order, incorrectly thinking you disagreed with the more efficient market, you win

@Bayesian I’m offended. I’m personally keeping all the markets efficient. Plus a chaos factor I will not reveal.

bettors note this is calendar gross (a very large disadvantage for avatar)

@Ziddletwix oh! That got me, I did not see that at all. I guess I’d better hope for a truly massive opening :)