Will 30 year mortgage interest rates fall below 5% before 2024? (United States)
Will 30 year mortgage interest rates fall below 5% before 2024? (United States)
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130Ṁ552resolved Jan 13
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Judged by https://www.nerdwallet.com/mortgages/mortgage-rates
(unless a better measure is suggested)
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What is Manifold?
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Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
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