Will the federal funds rate fall below 2.5% by the end of July 2026?
2
100Ṁ21
Jul 31
41%
chance

Resolves YES if the SOFR is below 2.5% by the end of July 2026.

https://www.newyorkfed.org/markets/reference-rates/sofr

Market context
Interest Rates
US Economy
Central Banks
Inflation
Federal reserve
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