Will Xi Jinping voluntarily leave any of his offices before 2026?
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Xi currently holds three offices: (1) General Secretary of the CCP, (2) President of the PRC, and (3) Chairman of the Central Military Commission.
Will he voluntarily step down from any of these roles before Jan 1, 2026?
(If new roles are assumed before 2026, they will not resolve this market. If existing offices are subsumed into new roles before 2026, their abdication may resolve this market.)
As what consitutes "voluntary" and "leaving office" may be subjective, I will not bet in this market.
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