Will a COVID-19 variant cause intermittent mask mandates in the United States by March 2024?
Mini
24
Ṁ11kresolved Mar 2
Resolved
NO1D
1W
1M
ALL
This resolves YES upon reputable news reports of Covid-19 prevention mask mandates in more than one US municipality. "Mask mandates" may be issued for schools, businesses, churches, or for government buildings across an administrative region (county, municipality, or school district), provided the administrative region has a population of more than 10,000 (for school districts the population of the district is counted, not the population of students). This market resolves NO if no evidence is submitted in the comments by March 1, 2024.
Due to the ambiguity in what constitutes a mask mandate, I will not trade in this market.
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Related questions
Will there be another pandemic in the USA that results in mask mandates on public transit by the end of 2030?
38% chance
When "Will Masking Return"? (widespread mask mandates in the USA)
Will there be another pandemic-related stay-at-home order in the US before EoY 2026?
25% chance
Will the US mandate that coughing air passengers wear masks by 2030?
9% chance
[Metaculus] Will a new VOC-classified covid variant cause at least 20k daily hospitalizations in US before July 1, 2025?
5% chance
Will there be a pandemic at least as deadly as COVID-19 by March 1st 2044?
59% chance
Will a COVID-19 variant cause a new scare and intermittent lockdowns in multiple countries by end 2025?
8% chance
New national mask mandates in the US by mid-2026
10% chance
Will there be any more lockdowns due to COVID-19 in the US before 2025?
3% chance
Will the USA reintroduce COVID-19 lockdowns between the posting of this question and the end of 2024?
5% chance
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ112 | |
2 | Ṁ110 | |
3 | Ṁ103 | |
4 | Ṁ33 | |
5 | Ṁ24 |
Sort by:
@stony https://www.ktvu.com/news/several-bay-area-health-departments-issue-new-mask-mandates-amid-rising-covid-cases
Related questions
Related questions
Will there be another pandemic in the USA that results in mask mandates on public transit by the end of 2030?
38% chance
Will there be a pandemic at least as deadly as COVID-19 by March 1st 2044?
59% chance
When "Will Masking Return"? (widespread mask mandates in the USA)
Will a COVID-19 variant cause a new scare and intermittent lockdowns in multiple countries by end 2025?
8% chance
Will there be another pandemic-related stay-at-home order in the US before EoY 2026?
25% chance
New national mask mandates in the US by mid-2026
10% chance
Will the US mandate that coughing air passengers wear masks by 2030?
9% chance
Will there be any more lockdowns due to COVID-19 in the US before 2025?
3% chance
[Metaculus] Will a new VOC-classified covid variant cause at least 20k daily hospitalizations in US before July 1, 2025?
5% chance
Will the USA reintroduce COVID-19 lockdowns between the posting of this question and the end of 2024?
5% chance