A lot of positive EV for me to bet it all on a giant coinflippy market...

Oh my, buying mochi NO looks like a juicy hedge here

@Mochi

I always believed (don’t look at me selling 1/2 the shares the next week)

@Bayesian i'm still new to manifold so idk how this exactly works. The money that Brad won from the job cut question doesn't apply to this month's league because placed the trade way before right? Or am I wrong and just lost 5% of my net worth lmao

@prismatic You’re correct. Sales also count as negative shares for leagues, so you can buy YES one month, sell YES the next for a profit, and lose profit in leagues for that month if YES goes up

@brod ah icic, that explains some magic math that was happening.

Believe in yourself. But not that much cause its not my time (yet anyway).

@MRME bought 1 share in your success

@prismatic nice - now I can get out of my one share at a .00000000000001 profit!

@MRME ive been rugpulled 🥲

@prismatic In all seriousness though I tried a new strategy this month that hasn't worked well. Need to refocus.

@MRME hmm good luck. my friend who trades on nfl markets is always singing your praises, so you must be doing something correct

Ah December. Whale season