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MANIFOLD
Will the re-release of Avenger Endgame Surpass the box office of Supergirl?
2
Ṁ1kṀ100
Dec 31
55%
chance

Supergirl (2026) already finished its run at about $126.4 million worldwide ($72.4M domestic + $54M international). It opened to $37–38M domestic.

Avengers: Endgame Encore (Sept 25, 2026) is not a standard re-release:

  • It includes new footage that connects Endgame to Avengers: Doomsday plus an exclusive end tag in IMAX/Infinity Vision.

  • First-day presales set a century record for a re-release (beating Titanic 3D).

  • Overseas presales have already outpaced some recent new comic-book movies in several markets.

  • The trailer did 77 million views in 24 hours.

Analysts have been talking about it adding roughly $125 million worldwide

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to YES if the worldwide box office gross of the 2026 re-release of Avengers: Endgame (officially titled Avengers: Endgame Encore, releasing on September 25, 2026) strictly exceeds the final worldwide box office gross of Supergirl (2026). Otherwise, this market will resolve to NO.

  • Supergirl (2026) Box Office Benchmark: Set at $126,366,532, as reported on The Numbers.

  • Avengers: Endgame Encore Gross: This refers only to the gross accumulated during its 2026 theatrical re-release run, not its 2019 original lifetime gross.

  • Sources: The final box office numbers will be verified using The Numbers and Box Office Mojo. If there is a discrepancy in the reported 2026 re-release gross between these two platforms, the higher of the two reported figures will be used.

  • Cutoff Date: If the 2026 re-release of Avengers: Endgame has not exceeded the $126,366,532 threshold by April 1, 2027, this market will resolve to NO.

Background

  • Supergirl (2026): Directed by Craig Gillespie and starring Milly Alcock, the DCU film completed its theatrical run with a soft $126.4 million globally ($72.4M domestic + $54M international)

  • Avengers: Endgame Encore: Set for premium theatrical re-release on September 25, 2026, ahead of the release of Avengers: Doomsday. This special IMAX / Infinity Vision "Encore" cut is expanded, featuring new footage connecting Endgame to Avengers: Doomsday and an exclusive end tag. If Endgame gets over Supergirl box office then this will resolve earlier.

Market context
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