Will I become a moderator before March 2027?

MANIFOLD

Ṁ100Ṁ62

Feb 28

15%

chance

ALL

Resolves YES if I (@bobalobascrob) become a moderator on Manifold Markets before March 2027 (i.e., market close).

Resolves NO otherwise.

Note that I have to formally become a mod (and stay a mod) for this market to resolve YES. For example, if I somehow become a moderator for 1 minute and lose that role immediately, that does not suffice for a YES resolution.

Get

1,000

to start trading!

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not adding liquidity this time until i get a better idea of the probability XD

bought Ṁ1 NO

25% feels about right.

@Quroe is that to get me to add more liquidity

@bobalobascrob Yes, 1 mana of liquidity is going to tip the scales. Absolutely.

Oh, wait, I misread. There was sarcasm there.

No, I think 25% is 25%. The liquidity doesn't matter as much as the price does.

@bobalobascrob But I do have a range in mind.

@Quroe ah ok
the more liquidity i add the more incentive genzy (who is supposedly "down bad" for mana) has to make me mod XD

hmm i'll add 1k liquidity to this market after i get more information

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