Will One Of The Top 5 American Newspapers Use The Word "Transbian" By August 2024?
44
Ṁ1kṀ9kresolved Aug 2
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
For the purposes of this question, the top five american newspapers are:
1. The Wall Street Journal
2. The New York Times
3. USA Today
4. The Washington Post
5. Los Angeles Times
The question will be decided by doing a google search for "transbian" site:newspaper for each of the five newpapers on the day the question closes. If there are any articles where "transbian" appears in the headline or body, the question resolves YES. NO otherwise.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ496 | |
| 2 | Ṁ131 | |
| 3 | Ṁ81 | |
| 4 | Ṁ61 | |
| 5 | Ṁ49 |
People are also trading
Will it be illegal to be openly transgender in any part of the United States by 2030?
10% chance
Before the end of 2035, will plurality become as common in the US as transgenderness was in 2022?
14% chance
Will it be possible for transgender people to leave the US in 2026? (Can renew passports; Not imprisoned)
91% chance
Before the end of 2035, will transracialism become as common as transgenderism was in 2022?
4% chance
Will a trans person be president of the USA by 2030?
1% chance
Will a Republican come out as trans in office before 2030?
16% chance
Will the trans community agree on a single, grammatically-singular, gender-neutral pronoun to use before 2035?
9% chance
Will the WWE have their first openly transgender active wrestler by the end of 2026?
5% chance
How many "big" NYT headlines will there be in 2026?
48.8
Will an openly trans Republican be elected to a U.S. state or federal government position by the end of 2030?
20% chance
People are also trading
Related questions
Will it be illegal to be openly transgender in any part of the United States by 2030?
10% chance
Before the end of 2035, will plurality become as common in the US as transgenderness was in 2022?
14% chance
Will it be possible for transgender people to leave the US in 2026? (Can renew passports; Not imprisoned)
91% chance
Before the end of 2035, will transracialism become as common as transgenderism was in 2022?
4% chance
Will a trans person be president of the USA by 2030?
1% chance
Will a Republican come out as trans in office before 2030?
16% chance
Will the trans community agree on a single, grammatically-singular, gender-neutral pronoun to use before 2035?
9% chance
Will the WWE have their first openly transgender active wrestler by the end of 2026?
5% chance
How many "big" NYT headlines will there be in 2026?
48.8
Will an openly trans Republican be elected to a U.S. state or federal government position by the end of 2030?
20% chance