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Conditional on my wife divorcing me, will this market be partially responsible in the breakdown of our relationship?
22
Ṁ450Ṁ415
resolved Aug 8
Resolved
N/A

My wife [34 F] and I [47 M] have been married for 5 years. Recently she has been very rude about my use of manifold.market and has been upset with me for spending money on the platform. She doesn't understand the intelligence of the market and how important it is to participate.

I refuse to stop using manifold and this is putting a strain on our relationship. I think it is fair to say the situation is dire.

If my wife doesn't divorce me in the alloted time, I will resolve this N/A. If I she does, then I will resolve "yes" iff the word "manifold" or "online prediction market" or some variation thereof is used in the divorce papers or subsequent court preceedings.

Additional resolution criteria: if this post is called out as a joke in the comments, then this market will not be resolved and instead be allowed to expire. Otherwise, the fiction will continue...

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Ok everyone, I've got a big juicy update to tell you all about my very real marriage to a very real human woman. FIRSTLY I would like to thank everyone for voting in my poll. Secondly, I would like to say FUCKINGS to everyone who voted in my poll because I just had to have the most intense and uncomfortable conversation of my life.

So I sat my wife down on the couch and held her hands and looked into her beautiful eyes and said "I will continue using Manifold Market for the rest of my natural life." Needless to say she was upset, but then I pulled out of my sleeve the trick that I had up my sleeve. I handed her the Galaxy Note 7 I had bought for her during a clearance auction. On it was the Manifold Market app with an account I made just for her to use.

I explained to her how everything worked and she was actually ecstatic to hear that Manifold Market was not an Ashley Madison clone like she'd been assuming this whole time. She works in decentralized finance so the idea of a play market is actually very appealing to her. Anyway, we just spent the last ten minutes hanging out on the couch trading shares in markets titled things like "Will I eat four magic mushrooms during a NASCAR race before 2055?" and "Will my attempts at replicating the Stanford prison experiment with my poker group succeed?" She's even started calling me her "little HODLer" since I refuse to sell my YES shares in "Will Elon Musk sell X to Meta tomorrow night?"

Thank you everyone for your help. I don't see divorce in the cards for us anymore so I will be resolving this as N/A.

Thank you Manifold Market. I owe you one. 🥺❤

Well, the poll closed and it says I need to double down on manifold. I am concerned for my marriage. I think I have an idea, however...

You haven't even bought any mana bro

@jeremiahsamroo then what was that eth address I sent my life savings to 😟

This is not r/AmItheAsshole bro 😭

Ok I made a poll about what I should do next... I really need the invisible hand of the market to help me out here 🙏

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Unfortunate update: She spotted my phone screen while I was trying to vote "no" on the market titled "Will the market "Will the main LK-99 market close between 30% and 40% on August 7th?" get more than 10 traders?" and now she's upset with me again. I just don't understand womens.

I have to sleep in our cold cellar with our crates of club mate tonight :(

@blackle on the plus side, that means no sexy-time tonight, which means more time on Manifold

Yes, it seems unlikely that you will be capable of communicating the glorious calculation of the market to your partner.

predictedYES

@Jubilee That said, if you do manage this @blackle, you might be able to convince her to use Manifold and take @Stralor's survey. I've taken a position on whether there are more than 10 women on Manifold and it would be beneficial.

Ok we made up and she agreed to stay for the night on the condition that I don't use this site tonight (currently typing this on the toilet.) She says she loves me but the market is getting in the way of that. I feel so conflicted. I'll start a poll tomorrow asking what to do.

Ok she can't actually leave because I forgot to charge the Tesla Model S when I came home from my friend's place last night (we were playing the iterated prisoner's dilemma). So we're gonna have a talk instead.

She says she's leaving for aspen for the rest of the weekend. Not sure what to do.

Additional resolution criteria: if this post is called out as a joke in the comments, then this market will not be resolved and instead be allowed to expire. Otherwise, the fiction will continue..

??

You're not alone in not understanding what that means.

But I am suspicious. The account is only 1 day old. If you search online for the name you find someone who uses this username: https://www.google.com/search?q=Blackle+Mori and based on the youtube channel of the same name it seems to belong to a women who looks much younger than 47.

predictedYES

@Nils I think it's clearly a coincidence they share a similar name, everyone knows you get banned if you lie and they haven't been banned yet.

Update: I showed my wife this question and she is pissed :(

@blackle if you get divorced, will she walk away with half of your Mana?

@AlQuinn new type of guy just dropped: guy who spends all of his family money on manifold before the divorce so that his wife only gets mana and not actual money