AI-generated album enters the Billboard 200 before 2030?
3
100Ṁ81
2029
72%
chance

Resolves YES if:

  • An album credibly documented as AI-generated appears anywhere on a Billboard 200 chart dated before January 1, 2030. Evidence that the charting album is AI‑generated must include either an official creator/label statement or coverage by a major outlet (e.g., Billboard, Variety, Rolling Stone, The Verge, NYT) explicitly describing the release as AI‑generated.

Resolves NO if:

  • If the criteria for YES are not met before the market ends.

  • If Billboard updates its chart policies to exclude AI-generated content before the criteria are met.

  • If the Billboard 200 ceases to exist before the YES criteria are met.

Notes:

  • To avoid any bias regarding what counts as 'credibly documented as AI-generated', I won't bet on this market.

  • Virtual/”avatar” acts with human‑performed audio do not qualify.

  • Reissues/deluxe versions qualify only if the charting release itself meets the AI‑generated criterion.

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