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MANIFOLD
Will YES have fewer holders than NO? (24hr quick fuse)
10
Ṁ100Ṁ3.2k
Sep 10
29%
chance

Resolution criteria

  • This market resolves to YES if, at the exact moment of market close, the number of unique users holding a positive balance of YES shares is strictly less than the number of unique users holding a positive balance of NO shares.

  • This market resolves to NO if the number of unique users holding a positive balance of YES shares is greater than or equal to the number of unique users holding a positive balance of NO shares.

Background

  • This is a self-referential meta-market where the resolution is determined entirely by the trading behavior and holding patterns of the participants in this specific market.

  • Traders can directly influence the outcome by choosing which shares to hold and whether to coordinate with other traders to balance or skew the holder counts before the market closes.

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bought Ṁ50 NO

@senso this will be fun

bought Ṁ30 NO

@senso what’s the limit at 49 for 🧐

@bigyahu just playing around and trying something