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MANIFOLD
Will SpaceX (SPCX) closing price on its first trading day be greater than $135?
5
Ṁ1kṀ323
Dec 31
62%
chance

This market is about the closing price of SpaceX stock on its first public trading day under the ticker SPCX.

Resolving rules

This market will resolve YES if the closing price of SPCX on Yahoo Finance for its first day of public trading is strictly greater than $135.00.

This market will resolve NO if the closing price of SPCX on Yahoo Finance for its first day of public trading is less than or equal to $135.00.

So:

  • If the closing price is $135.01 or higher, this resolves YES.

  • If the closing price is exactly $135.00, this resolves NO.

  • If the closing price is below $135.00, this resolves NO.

The closing price means the regular-market closing price shown by Yahoo Finance, not the after-hours price.

Source for the closing price

I will use the closing price shown by Yahoo Finance for ticker SPCX.

After the first trading day ends, I will wait until the closing price is clearly available on Yahoo Finance and then resolve this market.

Edge cases

  • If SpaceX begins public trading under a ticker other than SPCX, this market will resolve N/A.

  • If SpaceX does not begin public trading under ticker SPCX before this market closes, this market will resolve N/A.

Author betting policy

The author of this market can place bets on it.

Market context
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