It looks like everybody already knows what is threat is about (some kind of nuclear weapons in space from russia), there is a topic about that on manifold — https://manifold.markets/news/mystery-thread

This market is about the official classification state of "national security threat" that Mike Turne mentioned.

This market will be resolved YES shorty after there is info from several trusted sources that this threat is declassified. (If I have missed the moment and this is declassified before I created this market I will resolve it as YES as soon I have good evidence that this has happened)

This market will be resolved NO if in the beginning of 2025 I will not be able to find any good evidence that it is declassified. I will use timezone of USA Washington, D.C.

I'm not going to bet on this market.