Will it be exposed that Esmail Qaani is an Israeli spy, by EOY 2025
14
1kแน10k2026
22%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
this question will resolve YES, if credible Western media will show evidence for Qaani to be an Israeli spy, or if an Iranian official source publishes that he was spying for Israel.
This question will resolve NO, if wy the end of 2025, there is no such evidence.
I will not bet in this market
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Sort by:
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Jeffrey Goldberg be arrested over the Signal leak by the 1st of October 2025?
4% chance
If X happens by EOY 2024, will Netanyahu be replaced as prime minister by EOY 2025?
Will Jimmy Apples ๐/acc be doxx'd by EOY 2025?
27% chance
Will there be a major bioattack by EOY 2025 where an LLM provided relevant information to the attacker(s)?
9% chance
Will there be another "fake alien" incident before EOY 2025?
60% chance
Will Prime Minister Netanyahu be assassinated before 2026?
3% chance
Will anyone be charged under the Logan Act by EOY 2025?
9% chance
Who will die by EOY 2025
Will any prominent AI researcher be assassinated before EOY 2030
28% chance
AI snitch arrest by EOY2026?
31% chance