Will Colossal Biosciences de-extinct a species by the end of 2028?
Basic
8
Ṁ112
2029
19%
chance

Wikipedia: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Colossal_Biosciences

News Coverage: https://techcrunch.com/2025/01/15/colossal-biosciences-raises-200m-at-10-2b-valuation-to-bring-back-woolly-mammoths/?guccounter=1&guce_referrer=aHR0cHM6Ly93d3cuZ29vZ2xlLmNvbS8&guce_referrer_sig=AQAAAEXrGf7oN5GWuZbQhTDTVA-x2OpHvO0w9xWfPTYXQr5T0MiCtBcRjM5iCEppHe5AfMo_KGqUC8EJsqfY3F0SLG64N3ljM9vYPVpAzWxtwxxn4ekm4ERkMGPR-BSyaKzVg7DWO7uEO3ac0FaipEKUjGv5XP_pQs_xCq_vXvKGU3Qv

This resolves YES if the Wooly Mammoth, Tasmanian Tiger, Dodo Bird, or any other extinct species has been de-extincted by the end of 2028 by Colossal Biosciences (or a company or organization that purchases them, contracts with them, or is associated with them meaningfully).

By “de-extincted” this would probably look like the birth of a mammoth calf or dodo chick, for example. If they find another way of bringing back a specimen to life that’s okay too, although I can’t really imagine how that would work.

Should be fairly clear-cut of a resolution but I will still not bet in this market so I can remain unbiased.

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