Will Trump go a full week without speaking live on camera before the end of 2026?
10
100Ṁ1162026
31%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Live camera appearances must be unambiguous. I will use my best judgment as to what that entails, but I will not be conspiratorial (like, I'm not going to give credence to pixel-by-pixel analysis of all video footage out of the White House or whatever).
By week, I mean 24*7 hours, not a calendar week.
I will not bet in this market to remain objective.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Donald Trump be alive through the end of 2025?
95% chance
Will Donald Trump live till the end of 2028?
73% chance
Will Donald Trump be alive through the end of 2025?
94% chance
Will Trump "appear in uniform within the next 12 months"? (by the end of Jan 20th, 2026)
13% chance
Will Donald Trump serve any prison sentence before the end of 2027?
1% chance
Will Donald Trump serve any prison time before 2026?
1% chance
Will Trump attempt to defund CSPAN by the end of 2026?
73% chance
Will Donald Trump serve any prison sentence before the end of 2026?
1% chance
Will Trump serve until the end of his term in 2028?
80% chance
Will Trump successfully defund CSPAN by the end of 2026?
45% chance