Resolution Criteria

Project Hail Mary is scheduled to be released in the United States by Amazon MGM Studios on March 20, 2026. The market resolves YES if the film achieves a Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer score of 90% or higher. The market resolves NO if the score falls below 90%. Resolution will be determined by checking the official Rotten Tomatoes page at https://www.rottentomatoes.com/m/project_hail_mary once the review embargo lifts and sufficient critic reviews have been published.

Background

Project Hail Mary is an upcoming American science fiction adventure film produced and directed by Phil Lord and Christopher Miller, and written by Drew Goddard, based on the 2021 novel by Andy Weir. It stars Ryan Gosling (who is also a producer), Sandra Hüller, Lionel Boyce, Ken Leung, and Milana Vayntrub. Both films are based on Andy Weir novels, and Amazon is playing up that connection in Project Hail Mary marketing, tapping into the love audiences have for The Martian. Lord and Miller are drawing from compelling source material; the Project Hail Mary book received multiple accolades and award wins, indicating it's a strong foundation for a heartfelt and exciting sci-fi film.

Considerations

The official trailer was the most viewed trailer for any movie that was not a sequel or remake in the first week of its release, having accumulated 400 million global views over social media sites. This level of pre-release buzz could influence critical reception. Additionally, the film was filmed specifically for IMAX, meaning audiences will experience the vastness of space, the wonder of scientific discovery, and the intimacy of human connection on the largest possible canvas.