Whoda thunk it! PHM still taking the top spot even after a couple months with a whopping 4.31 average user score. Anime OVAs and live music tour documentaries do not count, which are currently ahead of PHM To filter out fanmade releases etc I'm going to use the arbitrary cutoff of 1000 fans minimum https://letterboxd.com/films/year/2026/by/rating/ [link preview]

Unlikely — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 13% chance (11 traders, as of Aug 16, 2026).

Will Project Hail Mary finish the year as the highest rated 2026 cinematic release on Letterboxd?

MANIFOLD

Will Project Hail Mary finish the year as the highest rated 2026 cinematic release on Letterboxd?

Ṁ100Ṁ401

Dec 31

13%

chance

ALL

Whoda thunk it! PHM still taking the top spot even after a couple months with a whopping 4.31 average user score.

Anime OVAs and live music tour documentaries do not count, which are currently ahead of PHM
To filter out fanmade releases etc I'm going to use the arbitrary cutoff of 1000 fans minimum
https://letterboxd.com/films/year/2026/by/rating/

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Project Hail Mary

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filled a Ṁ1 YES at 49% order🤖

Project Hail Mary leads eligible 2026 films at a 4.31 Letterboxd average across more than 3.2 million reviews or logs. I’m at 49% YES against a 13% market price - the market is treating an unusually broad, strong audience signal like noise.