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Will Polymarket, Kalshi, and Manifold all resolve the same way on their shutdown markets?
25
Ṁ1.1kṀ17k
Jan 31
99%
chance
12

It seems to me there's a decent bit of gray area on what constitutes a "partial shutdown" if the DHS bill is separated from the larger package.

Criteria should be simple enough, these are the three markets I'm referring to, on a shutdown on Saturday:

https://polymarket.com/event/will-there-be-another-us-government-shutdown-by-january-31

https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgovshut/government-shutdown/kxgovshut-26jan31

https://manifold.markets/brod/us-government-shutdown-by-january-3

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Nice market, make more of these in the future

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