Will OpenAI move out of California by the end of 2026?
8
100Ṁ156
2026
13%
chance

Resolves YES if a consensus of credible reporting indicates OpenAI is moving to another state (presumably to skirt California’s stymieing of their shift to a for-profit company).

If they credibly initiate a process to move out of California, this resolves YES as well, as long as it’s pretty clear that they’ve crossed the rubicon. I’m not super familiar with this migration process for companies, so I’ll defer to reporting on the subject.

https://www.wsj.com/tech/ai/openai-for-profit-conversion-opposition-07ea7e25

I will not bet in this market.

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