Will Mamdani arrest Netanyahu if he steps foot in NYC?
11
100Ṁ2522026
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
45%
Netanyahu comes to NYC in 2026, is NOT arrested there
2%
Netanyahu comes to NYC in 2026, IS arrested there
53%
Netanyahu does not come to NYC in 2026
De facto includes UN HQ, as to my understanding it is not possible to enter it without first entering NYC. If Netanyahu resorts to some sort of helicopter landing on top of the UN HQ compound or something, then idk I'll probably have to resolve N/A.
I'll interpret arrest fairly broadly. For example, if Netanyahu is detained by NYC officials in any capacity, even if he is then immediately released into federal custody or something, that will still resolve.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Zohran Mamdani be arrested or deported by EOY2025?
4% chance
Will Mamdani endorse Hochul in the 2026 Democratic Primary for Governor of New York?
63% chance
Will NYC DSA endorse Mamdani's re-election?
86% chance
Who will Mamdani appoint as NYC school chancellor?
IF Benjamin Netanyahu is arrested (for war crimes) by 2025, what country will he be arrested in?
Will Netanyahu be imprisoned?
20% chance
Will Netanyahu visit the US again before the end of 2025?
99% chance
If Mamdani is elected NYC Mayor, do you think he would be successful in implementing his policies?
POLL
Will Zohran Mamdani be elected and then reelected as mayor of NY?
71% chance
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?
63% chance