Jordan Chiles's bronze medal in the floor finals was taken away by the CAS and IOC, due to a controversy:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gymnastics_at_the_2024_Summer_Olympics_%E2%80%93_Women%27s_floor#Controversy

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/08/11/world/olympics/jordan-chiles-gymnastics-medal.html

This resolves YES if Chiles and the Americans' appeal is granted and she is allowed to keep the bronze medal / her bronze medal is reinstated. If both Chiles and Barbosu (or Chiles and Barbosu and Voinea, for that matter) receive bronze medals, this will still resolve YES.

This resolves NO if not.

Physical possession of the bronze medal is irrelevant to this market. I may extend the close time if arbitration continues past close date. I will not bet in this market, except maybe one mana to boost trader count :-P