Will India and Pakistan go to war in 2025? (>1k deaths)
51
100Ṁ2437Dec 31
49%
chance
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Resolves YES if the following criterion is met:
> 1000 deaths due to an India-Pakistan conflict within 2025, as per consensus media reporting and a median of the estimates of Wikipedia, the NYT, and the Guardian
I will not bet in this market, to remain as objective as possible.
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