Resolves YES if at the end of July, to my judgment, the consensus of reporting indicates that it is more likely than not that the Iranian nuclear site of Fordow has been put out of commission, through air strikes, sabotage, etc.

Inspired by @PeterWildeford ’s blog post:

https://open.substack.com/pub/peterwildeford/p/the-fordow-paradox-where-do-iran?r=19iisj&utm_medium=ios

and reporting from mainstream media such as Axios:

https://www.axios.com/2025/06/14/iran-nuclear-facilities-fordow-israel-strike

• Update 2025-06-14 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): A commitment or deal to put Fordow out of commission is not sufficient for a YES resolution. There must be consensus reporting that the site is actually out of commission (e.g. "Fordow has halted centrifuges and is under UN monitoring currently").