Will a Manifold newsletter that I write get 50 likes on Substack by the end of June?
13
100Ṁ466
Jul 1
27%
chance

https://news.manifold.markets/

You can check here ^^^ (and subscribe)

https://x.com/ManifoldMarkets

Pretty straightforward. 50+ likes would cause this to resolve YES. It's a Substack newsletter, and you can like posts from the app/website/or from a link in the email (kind of).

No Manifold newsletter post has ever reached 50, though several have gotten >40 likes.

-Co-authored articles count too.

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A little confused by some of the Substack likes. Within seconds of sending out the post, there's a quick flurry of likes from fake-seeming emails. These likes don't show up as users on substack, and the number varies a lot. Like, there were about 10 of these questionable likes on one of the earlier posts I did, but only 3 on my last one? Does anyone know anything about this?

current tallies?

@shankypanky my last one got 17. Rob's got 31, but that wouldn't count since it's not me.

opened a Ṁ500 NO at 75% order

I’m gonna bet NO here so that I can hopefully encourage some of y’all to start liking the newsletter 😆

does coauthor count?

@saulmunn hmmm, I think yes

reposted

Newsletter from yesterday, "Waclaud at the Oscars", has 20 likes.

@bens is someone going to tweet it? doesn't look like manifold tweets their articles and idk if there's a particular reason/policy for that (cc @SG @SirSalty)

great time to Oscarspost! ⭐

@shankypanky elon musk probably bands anyone who links substack

@jim nah, you just have to put it in the first comment (not main tweet) like all links since he wants everyone to get Stockholm Syndrome by keeping them onsite lol

and most people censor the word "Substack" bc I do think there's something in the algo that may suppress it but that I'm not certain about!

@jim ya, you run the twitter right? I can send you the, like... pictures that Substack creates for optimal sharing on social media

@bens oh! I missed the part where Jim's behind the account now. 😂 soz Jim!

bought Ṁ150 YES

https://news.manifold.markets/p/focusing-on-mana-bringing-sweepstakes

that article currently has 45 likes, only 5 more to reach 50 and resolve yes

@mongo I did not write that article! The articles I wrote have my name as the Byline.

reposted

oh hell yeah 🙌 looking forward to reading it!

(follow Manifold on Substack if you're not already)

@shankypanky my last two got 22 likes and 10 (mysteriously low on that second one, unclear why, I think it was better than the first)

bought Ṁ30 YES

likes where? substack? twitter?

@shankypanky likes on Substack!

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