Resolves YES if I see definitive proof that one of you here on Manifold is a chess grandmaster. Will stay open until end of 2025 or until a grandmaster joins Manifold, whichever comes first.
It cannot be the friend or relative of a Manifold user, and if you are (or if someone you suspect is) an anonymous user, I'll need something that definitively proves that the holder of the account is a grandmaster.
I will not bet in this market.
Actually gonna edit the description to 2025 since it looks like only 1 person holds position currently and it's NO so this would only help them. I think 2030 is too far a time horizon and it's quite likely that a user in the next 8 years or so would be able to recruit a GM to make an account. I could probably do it if I put my mind to it.
No way there is right now, there's more billionaires on earth than grandmasters. Maybe if Manifold grows enough, though.