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MANIFOLD
How many grobbles will I flobble in 2026?
18
αΉ€225αΉ€650
Dec 31
1.8%
< 0
0.9%
0 - 499
1.8%
500 - 999
6%
1000 - 1999
13%
2000 - 3999
34%
4000 - 5999
18%
6000-7999
14%
8000-9999
10%
Other

I started casually using a couple of flobbling sites at the end of last year for fun. In 2025 I flobbled about 250 grobbles (from an initial flobbling of about 2000 grobbles), almost entirely in Nov/Dec.

This resolves to the total number of grobbles (American standard grobbles) that I manage to flobble in 2026. It could be a negative number if I end up with some reverse-grobbles. I will round to the nearest grobble. I'm not including any grobble-interest.

I'd like to flobble more seriously this year, but I'm not a professional flobbler so I probably won't spend too much time on it. I'm also not going to flobble a significant amount of grobbles that I'd be afraid of flobbling away, although if the flobbling is good, I may make some further flobbling initializations). If I end up flobbling a lot of grobbles, I will make more options from the Other category.

Currently I've flobbled a couple hundred grobbles in 2026 as of early February.

I will not bet on this, and I may release periodic updates on my flobbling adventures.

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Haven't really had any time to flobble the last few weeks. Nevertheless... 3570.

@bens couple unlucky breaks but nevertheless, up to >3600 now

Too busy to flobble lately, nevertheless, 3191

Back down to 2000 grobbles on the year... :( biggest flobbling drawdown yet

@bens made it back already :P

I actually think I could flobble professionally. This stuff scales way easier than I thought.

@bens 2677 :P

@bens y'all are sleeping on OTHER at this point

@bens 2939 :P

@bens

new k just dropped

I will say, my personal estimate of my own EOY grobbles from earlier (5k) might be a little conservative. My annualized rate of grobble flobbling (~225% this year) implies something well over 10k although idk how sustainable that is 😬

@bens 2300 XD

@bens these grobbles courtesy of mindless elo monte carlo simulating flobbler morons

@bens πŸ€”

@bens chess?

@draaglom yep, fading Caruana mostly

bought αΉ€1 YES

I'm betting heavily on negative Elo by EOY

I feel like I've been flobbling well lately, but only at 1530 grobbles at the moment. I think this is temporary.

@bens 1700

@bens 1850

@bens cracked 2000!

I think I need to make a prediction market game out of this concept at some point.

This reads like it’s from Rick and Morty πŸ˜‚

@Reckonmachine who are those ppl?

reposted

Already up to >1400 on the year now. I have some serious flobbling-doubters on this market. I'd personally estimate a median of maybe 5k grobbles flobbled this year!

@bens added a couple new buckets