MANIFOLD
How many grobbles will I flobble in 2026?
16
Ṁ225Ṁ496
Dec 31
1%
< 0
0.8%
0 - 499
1.7%
500 - 999
2%
1000 - 1999
27%
2000 - 3999
32%
4000 - 5999
25%
6000-7999
8%
8000-9999
2%
Other

I started casually using a couple of flobbling sites at the end of last year for fun. In 2025 I flobbled about 250 grobbles (from an initial flobbling of about 2000 grobbles), almost entirely in Nov/Dec.

This resolves to the total number of grobbles (American standard grobbles) that I manage to flobble in 2026. It could be a negative number if I end up with some reverse-grobbles. I will round to the nearest grobble. I'm not including any grobble-interest.

I'd like to flobble more seriously this year, but I'm not a professional flobbler so I probably won't spend too much time on it. I'm also not going to flobble a significant amount of grobbles that I'd be afraid of flobbling away, although if the flobbling is good, I may make some further flobbling initializations). If I end up flobbling a lot of grobbles, I will make more options from the Other category.

Currently I've flobbled a couple hundred grobbles in 2026 as of early February.

I will not bet on this, and I may release periodic updates on my flobbling adventures.

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I feel like I've been flobbling well lately, but only at 1530 grobbles at the moment. I think this is temporary.

I think I need to make a prediction market game out of this concept at some point.

This reads like it’s from Rick and Morty 😂

@Reckonmachine who are those ppl?

reposted

Already up to >1400 on the year now. I have some serious flobbling-doubters on this market. I'd personally estimate a median of maybe 5k grobbles flobbled this year!

@bens added a couple new buckets

Grobbles on the year up to about 630.

@bens and now up to 860. Flobbling good, flobbling fun.

@bens crazy day of flobbling. Lost a bunch of grobbles and then gained back a bunch more. 950. I could survive in a third world country off this flobbling.

@bens 1013 baybeeee

@bens 1193, wasn't actively flobbling for about a week because I was busy, but looks like some unrealized flobbles rose

Boy, some of these grobbles have been flobbling straight from the sky lately. My counterpartyflobblers are morons.

Grobbles flobbled on the year up to 479 now.

Supposedly my annualized grobbling rate is now 125%, but I'm suspicious of my spreadsheet because that seems impossibly high, but I guess that's what my grobble-weighted IRR comes out to.

is a grobble a currency, perchance?

Yesterday I flobbled like 35 grobbles. Good day of flobbling.

just buy softbank calls

@jim lmao

Err, is this intended to be a secret or do these words have meanings?

@TheAllMemeingEye plausible deniability, shouldn’t be that hard to figure out given context clues

Not questioning your flobblability, just heard that even the best have stretches of negative grobblage.

@LoganTurner 20% seems reasonable (if you didn't know that I was lowkey goated when flobbling is the vibe)

Theory: grobble means girl and flobble means a word that starts with f.

@KarlWang AHAHAHAHAHA wait I'm just realizing that's a potential interpretation

I guess I'm kind of impressed that Manifold thinks my body count will grow by another few thousand this year. And also confused as to how I could have a negative body count.

@KarlWang of course you mean friend, right

@LoganTurner what is this from?

@bens um, it may spoil a plausible interpretation of your coded language. I’ll DM it to you

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