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MANIFOLD
By what date will the 21st Century Road to Housing Act become law?
3
Ṁ1kṀ241
Dec 31
42%
June 30
47%
July 4
50%
July 15
53%
July 31
58%
August 31
65%
September 30
72%
December 31

This market resolves based on the official date that the 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act is enacted into law.

Under U.S. constitutional law, the bill will be considered enacted when:

  1. The President signs the bill.

  2. The President fails to sign or veto the bill within 10 days (excluding Sundays) of presentation while Congress is in session, causing it to automatically become law.

  3. Congress successfully overrides a Presidential veto.

Each date option (e.g., "June 30", "July 4", "July 15", "July 31", "December 31st") will resolve to YES if the bill officially becomes law on or before 11:59 PM ET on that specified date in 2026.

If the bill becomes law after a specified date, that option will resolve to NO.

If the bill is vetoed (including a pocket veto) and does not become law by December 31, 2026, all options will resolve to NO.

The primary source of truth will be the official bill status tracker on Congress.gov (probably https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/6644). Mainstream news reporting confirming the exact enactment timestamp may also be used to resolve the market.

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One of the most consequential pieces of legislation this Congress! Will it become law? And when?!

Needs more traders, surely.