Will anyone commit violence in order to slow the progression of AI?
28
210Ṁ13102030
65%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Broadly defined, but more like terrorism than someone just getting mad and punching their computer or something. Includes state actions, such as air striking a data center, but not mere regulatory enforcement.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will someone kill an AI researcher to save the world by the end of 2025?
7% chance
Will anyone commit violence in order to slow the progression of AI?
67% chance
Will someone commit violence in the name of AI safety by 2030?
65% chance
Will anyone commit terrorism in order to slow the progression of AI before 2026?
10% chance
Will anyone commit terrorism in order to slow the progression of AI before 2030?
50% chance
Will anyone commit terrorism in order to slow the progression of AI before 2029?
45% chance
Will anyone commit terrorism in order to slow the progression of AI before 2027?
23% chance
Will anyone commit terrorism in order to slow the progression of AI before 2028?
30% chance
Will any AI researchers be killed by someone explicitly trying to slow AI capabilities by end of 2028?
27% chance
Will someone commit terrorism against an AI lab by the end of 2025 for AI-safety related reasons?
14% chance