How many cishet relationships will be started on Manifold Dating before the end of 2024?
5
75
70
Dec 31
19%
chance

Non-binary folx counted as birth sex.

First date must happen before the end of the year. Close date may be extended as needed to see if it works out.

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Why is this a “how many” question with binary voting? If I think it’s a small number, what do I bet?

@mattyb one resolves as one percent, two resolves as two percent, etc, a hundred or more resolves as one hundred percent.

@BenjaminIkuta you can make numeric markets on manifold which function much better than this. The option is a bit hidden, but you can duplicate an existing numeric market and change all details.

@gaming Why does it work better, other than allowing a wider range of numbers? Looks like it's quite a bit more expensive. Also, it's strange that the option is hidden. I wonder if that's intentional.

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