Will Manifold Love get 10% as popular as Tinder within the next 5 years?
6
27
Ṁ1.2kṀ155
2029
4%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Since I don't currently see user activity metrics for Manifold Love, I will use google trend to resolve this market
https://trends.google.com/trends/explore?geo=US&q=Manifold%20Love,tinder&hl=en-US
Resolves Yes if over any month, "Manifold Love" has 10% as much search volume as "Tinder" on google trend
Resolves No if that didnt happen before the end of 2028
related market:
Get Ṁ600 play money
Related questions
Will Manifold Reach X number of Monthly Active Users in 2024?
Will Manifold hit 5,000 active users daily (7d average) in 2024?
36% chance
Will Manifold Reach X number of Monthly Active Users in 2025?
Will Manifold Reach 11000 Monthly Active Users in 2024?
53% chance
Will Manifold Markets still be popular at the end of 2026?
74% chance
Will Manifold Reach 10000 Monthly Active Users in 2024?
43% chance
Will Manifold Reach 20000 Monthly Active Users in 2024?
31% chance
Will Manifold have more than 11000 Monthly Active Users at the end of 2024?
61% chance
Will Manifold Markets be more popular than Metaculus by the end of 2024?
60% chance