Jobs & Social Support After AGI [Predictions]

MANIFOLD

Ṁ1kṀ186

2035

64%

Worse Unemployment

50%

Zero unemployment, zero UBI

38%

Regular Social Support / No UBI

37%

Regular Unemployment

35%

Increased Social Support / Little UBI

34%

Massive Unemployment

27%

Massive Social Support / UBI

Political & economic outcomes in Western countries 0-5 years after AGI is achieved and available.

Market context

Get

1,000

to start trading!

3 Comments

10 Holders

30 Trades

Sort by:

This is funny it's basically making predictions for 2035

If UBI resolves true, does "little UBI" also resolve true?

@colorednoise No, if within 5 years of AGI a western country implements UBI then "a little UBI" will resolve false.

People are also trading

Will we get AGI before 2029?

24% chance

Will AGI be achieved in the next 5 years?

-4% 1d36% chance

Will we get AGI before 2030?

30% chance

Will we get AGI before 2027?

4% chance

Will we get AGI before 2028?

13% chance

By when will we have AGI?

Will AGI have driven wages below subsistence level by these dates?

Will ASI be developed 5+ years after AGI?

38% chance

Will we get AGI before 2029?

40% chance

Will we get AGI before 2035?

54% chance

People are also trading

Related questions