2.2k
2025
0.6%
under 1.5%
1.7%
[1.5%, 2%)
21%
[2%, 2.5%)
34%
[2.5%, 3%)
34%
[3%, 3.5%)
9%
3.5% or over

Specifically, 12-month all-items inflation according to the BLS, as of the last data release of 2024.

[1.5%, 2%), for example, means the number ends up between 1.500000% and 1.999999%.

From https://www.slowboring.com/p/my-2024-predictions:

  • Last CPI print of the year shows annual inflation below 3% (80%)

  • Last CPI print of the year shows annual inflation above 2% (80%)

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