On 2024-02-10, will I personally find this idea about moral philosophy to be insightful?
8
139
Ṁ212Ṁ150
resolved Mar 2
Resolved
YES1D
1W
1M
ALL
Here is the idea: that optimising decisionmaking individually and collectively is the same, and this is the moral philosophy that is needed to underly the age of collective human consciousness, extended mind, and the potential for agentic AIs, or, equivalently, self-improving AIs. It is expounded upon slightly here
Get Ṁ600 play money
🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ22 | |
| 2 | Ṁ8 | |
| 3 | Ṁ2 |
Related questions
Will an AI produce encyclopedia-worthy philosophy by 2026?
20% chance
Will philosophers accept or lean towards consequentialism once a consensus on normative ethics is reached?
58% chance
By 2028, will I think Anthropic has been net-good for the world?
64% chance
By the end of 2028 will AI be able to write an original article and get it accepted in a prestigious Philosophy journal?
53% chance
Will I be significantly happier in 2024?
61% chance
(5000M subsidy) Will I (porby) think "goal agnosticism" as a concept is still relevant/useful at the end of 2024?
61% chance
Will AI create philosophy before 2030?
74% chance
Will philosophers accept or lean towards virtue ethics once a consensus on normative ethics is reached?
26% chance
By 2028, will I think Conjecture has been net-good for the world?
69% chance
In a year from today, will I have a satisfactory framework for describing the epistemology of AI alignment?
38% chance