By how much will the Fed cut interest rates in 2024?

Basic

19

Ṁ2.8k2025

1D

1W

1M

ALL

3%

negative (Fed raises rates)

17%

0

63%

0.25%

9%

0.50%

4%

0.75%

1.1%

1%

1%

1.25%

1%

1.5%

0.9%

1.75% or more

Resolves to the difference between 5.50% (the end-of-2023 value) and the upper limit of the Fed's federal funds rate target range shown on FRED

From https://www.slowboring.com/p/my-2024-predictions

Fed cuts interest rates at least fifty basis points (90%)

Fed cuts interest rates at least 75 basis points (70%)

Fed

does notcut interest rates by more than 100 basis points (70%)

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