By how much will the Fed cut interest rates in 2024?
Standard
58
Ṁ45k
Jan 1
0.1%
negative (Fed raises rates)
0.1%
0
0.7%
0.25%
4%
0.50%
12%
0.75%
53%
1%
23%
1.25%
7%
1.5%
0.6%
1.75% or more

Resolves to the difference between 5.50% (the end-of-2023 value) and the upper limit of the Fed's federal funds rate target range shown on FRED

From https://www.slowboring.com/p/my-2024-predictions

  • Fed cuts interest rates at least fifty basis points (90%)

  • Fed cuts interest rates at least 75 basis points (70%)

  • Fed does not cut interest rates by more than 100 basis points (70%)

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S1.00