By how much will the Fed cut interest rates in 2024?
64
1kṀ80kresolved Jan 1
100%99.0%
1%
0.1%
negative (Fed raises rates)
0.1%
0
0.1%
0.25%
0.2%
0.50%
0.2%
0.75%
0.0%
1.25%
0.1%
1.5%
0.2%
1.75% or more
Resolves to the difference between 5.50% (the end-of-2023 value) and the upper limit of the Fed's federal funds rate target range shown on FRED
From https://www.slowboring.com/p/my-2024-predictions
Fed cuts interest rates at least fifty basis points (90%)
Fed cuts interest rates at least 75 basis points (70%)
Fed does not cut interest rates by more than 100 basis points (70%)
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@polymathematic I feel like it should wait until the end of the year -- the market has not reached the closing date.
Powell says the Fed doesn’t need to be ‘in a hurry’ to reduce interest rates
Published Thu, Nov 14 20243:00 PM EST
CNBC