Which of these tennis players will qualify for Nitto ATP finals?
Basic
14
Ṁ1099
Nov 11
99%
Casper Ruud
99%
Alex de Minaur
96%
Andrey Rublev
92%
Novak Djokovic
1%
Stefanos Tsitsipas
1%
Tommy Paul
Resolved
YES
Jannik Sinner
Resolved
YES
Carlos Alcaraz
Resolved
YES
Alexander Zverev
Resolved
YES
Daniil Medvedev
Resolved
YES
Taylor Fritz

To qualify for Nitto ATP finals, a player must be in the top 8 for accumulated points that year (there’s an edge case when there’s a grand slam champion outside of the top 8, see the Wikipedia article for a full description). Qualifying as an alternate (being #9 or #10) doesn't count for the resolution of this market. This market is unlinked multichoice; up to 8 options could be selected. If your favorite player isn't listed here, feel free to add them in.

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bought Ṁ1 Novak Djokovic NO

Djokovic has withdrawn, the field is now set:

https://x.com/atptour/status/1853763220567163212

How will Djokovic and Rublev resolve now?

Some people are already qualified no matter what. So, I'm resolving them early.

bought Ṁ50 Carlos Alcaraz YES

Or a grand slam champion, I think.

Oh, I didn’t know it worked like that. Though it’s not likely for a grand slam champion to be outside of the top 8. I’ll add a link to a more detailed description of the qualification process. Thanks for pointing this out.

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