Is this is the middle ground? 🤔 https://manifold.markets/LCBOB/will-april-2025-will-be-the-warmest

Will April 2025 will be the warmest month of April ever recorded (global) ?

29% chance. Resolution Source: Global temperature data from Copernicus Climate Bulletins Dataset: ERA5 Single Levels Data Tie Resolution: A tie (when the temperature matches previous records up to two significant digits) will resolve as NO. Only two significant digits will be used to determine the outcome.

I think they are, but really only on the browse/homepage when the repetitive, interrogative phrases clutters the page.

I couldn't think of another term for them

Interrogative market titles?

@ArmandodiMatteo That sounds like a good term for such questions, editing this poll

I personally like the longer titles but I do generally buy the idea that the shorter ones attract more attention, with no real evidence to support that thought.

Better run the same poll under a different title as well:

Declarative market titles better?

We believe declarative market names are better than the standard or classical. It's shorter in (word length), precise and to the point. It also sounds more impactful and invokes "call to action" psychology - makes people trade instantly.

@predyx_markets

It also sounds more impactful and invokes "call to action" psychology - makes people trade instantly.

I reject the premise that this is a good thing. In fact I think it's a bad thing. I don't want people to trade instantly or quickly; I want people to think before making a bet so the percentages we see reflect reality, not a poll of people's immediate thoughts.

@predyx_markets The psychology claim is completely backwards, at least when it comes to my psychology.

• "Sportsballers beat Cool Animals." Cool bro, good for them.

• "Will the Sportsballers beat the Cool Animals?" Good question, lemme think about that and answer it.

Another example:

• "My wedding is postponed this year." My condolences. I'm sorry that happened to you.

• "Will my wedding be postponed this year?" Hm, what are the factors? This could be interesting.

@Haiku this is how I find myself feeling as well. I was going to link to your other comment on Ian’s market as a good representation of my thought process, until I looked at who the author was :P