Will April 2025 will be the warmest month of April ever recorded (global) ?
10
100Ṁ475May 1
5%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolution Source:
Global temperature data from Copernicus Climate Bulletins
Dataset: ERA5 Single Levels Data
Tie Resolution: A tie (when the temperature matches previous records up to two significant digits) will resolve as NO. Only two significant digits will be used to determine the outcome.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will April 2025 be the hottest April ever? [NCEI]
18% chance
2025 April hottest on record? [Resolves from GISTemp data]
8% chance
Will March 2025 will be the warmest month of March ever recorded (global) ?
1% chance
Will May 2025 be the hottest May ever? [NCEI]
28% chance
Will 2025 be the warmest year on record?
29% chance
Which months in 2025 will become “hottest (corresponding month) on record”, globally?
Will April 2024 in Boston be one of the 20 warmest Avril's ever?
85% chance
Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?
29% chance
Will April 2024 be hotter in the U.S. (United States) than April 2022?
Which months in 2025 will become “hottest (corresponding month) on record” in the US?