Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to the date (UTC) on which OpenAI officially releases or makes publicly accessible a model under the name "GPT-7" (including variants like "GPT-7-mini" or "GPT-7 Astra").

• Definition of Release: The model must be made available to the public, ChatGPT Plus/Pro users, or developers via the OpenAI API.

• Source of Truth: The primary sources for verification will be the official OpenAI Blog (https://openai.com/news/) and the official OpenAI X/Twitter account (@OpenAI).

• Timezone: Resolution will be based on the UTC date of the official announcement or release (whichever comes first, provided public access or API availability begins within 24 hours of the announcement).

• Naming Edge Case: If OpenAI officially announces they have permanently abandoned the "GPT" whole-number naming scheme prior to releasing a model named "GPT-7", this market will resolve to the release date of their next-generation flagship foundation model succeeding the GPT-6 line, as determined by the market creator. If no "GPT-7" or equivalent flagship successor is released by December 31, 2030, this market will resolve N/A.

Background

OpenAI has historically compressed the timelines between its major flagship models. Following the release of GPT-5 on August 7, 2025, and the GPT-5.6 family in July 2026, OpenAI officially released GPT-6 Astra on September 3, 2026. OpenAI previously filed trademarks for both "GPT-6" and "GPT-7" in December 2023, signaling long-term planning for the naming convention. Industry estimates expect GPT-7 to arrive sometime in late 2027, depending on compute scaling and training progress.

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