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MANIFOLD
On what date will OpenAI release GPT-6.2 Astra?
0
Ṁ125
Feb 1
December 5, 2026
50%
Nov 6–8
50%
Nov 9–11
50%
Nov 12–14
50%
Nov 15–17
50%
other date

When will OpenAI officially release GPT-6.2 Astra?

This market predicts the official public release date of OpenAI's GPT-6.2 Astra model.

Resolution criteria:

  • The release must be officially announced by OpenAI or made publicly accessible through ChatGPT, Codex, or the OpenAI API.

  • Internal testing, leaked model identifiers, limited private previews, and unconfirmed rumors do not count.

  • The release date will be determined using Pacific Time (PT).

  • If the model is released under a different name, it will count only if OpenAI explicitly confirms it as the successor corresponding to GPT-6.2 Astra.

  • If the model is not released by December 31, 2026, the market resolves to "January 1, 2027 or later."

Primary sources: OpenAI's official announcements, release notes, and model documentation.

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