
Will my trading profits be lower than @ManifoldMarkets at any point in the next year?
14
250Ṁ1422resolved Mar 30
Resolved
YES1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
It's definitely possible if I keep up the gambling.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ20 | |
2 | Ṁ16 | |
3 | Ṁ15 | |
4 | Ṁ5 | |
5 | Ṁ4 |
People are also trading
Sort by:
@Joshua eh, the market doesn’t specify that bugs are ignored … there was certainly a moment when the displayed profit of manifold was higher than of audrey. subjective but I think it’s a fair resolution
I personally think it's just ... the wrong resolution, in that you can't really make the case that anyone who was trading on this would've wanted it to resolve YES if there was a bug when they traded. Like imagine there's a market "what will the maximum temperature on earth be in 2024 as measured by noaa.gov/something.xlsx" and one entry is a sensor error and says 10k degrees farenheit. I don't think the market should resolve based on that.