Will I earn 4 or more college points by the end of college advice club?
Will I earn 4 or more college points by the end of college advice club?
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170Ṁ2547resolved Apr 5
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There is a """college advice club""" that I am not a part of but I crashed the club for half of the club period today. Despite not being there for the whole time, I was able to obtain 1.5 college points from my stellar performance of a sample college essay. (Which is more points than what @Conflux got today.)
I plan to attend half of each """college advice club""" session until the club ends in two weeks.
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There’s a story I like to apply to all kinds of situations: if you wanted to get rich in the Gold Rush, you didn’t pan for gold. You sold pans, pickaxes, and food to the miners. Instead of hoping to strike it rich, they instead sold hope to other people.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.