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MANIFOLD
Who will win the Democratic primary for New York's 12th congressional district?
8
Ṁ480Ṁ368
resolved Aug 24
100%88%
Jerry Nadler
5%Other
7%
Carolyn Maloney
0.2%
Suraj Patel
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US Politics
Politics
US 2022 Elections
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Multiple news outlets have called it for Nadler with ≥91% of the votes counted.

Nadler is projected to win. I'll close this once the full results are reported.

I recommend doing these questions as multiple choice instead.

Since the choices are known it will make it easier for others to bet and not move the market ridiculously.

@BTE Yeah but I didn't want to add all the choices. There are so many candidates who are in the race but might not win, and I want people to be able to add those candidates if they think they have a chance.

@athenaciara Do any of them actually have a chance? Is it because this is the new district?

@BTE Yeah, this is the new distric. Maloney and Nadler both used to be in safe districts.

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