Will the CTFC be granted its preliminary injunction against Minnesota before 1 August 2026?
3
Ṁ1kṀ524Aug 2
70%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The CTFC is currently seeking a preliminary injunction against the State of Minnesota. Minnesota has become the first state to ban prediction markets: https://www.npr.org/2026/05/19/nx-s1-5821265/minnesota-ban-prediction-markets
The CTFC is seeking an injunction to stop the law from going into effect: https://www.cftc.gov/PressRoom/PressReleases/9233-26
This market resolves YES if the injunction is granted before 1 August 2026 and NO if the injunction is not granted before the law goes into effect.
I will not bet in this market.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will the Supreme Court strike down the FTC’s attempt to ban noncompete agreements before the end of 2026?
21% chance
Will the Supreme Court overrule Humphrey's Executor by August 1, 2026?
89% chance
Will the Supreme Court deem unconstitutional the Montana statewide ban on TikTok by 2026 year end?
7% chance
Will the Supreme Court rule on PredictIt vs. CFTC before 2026?
7% chance
Will the Trump administration successfully overturn the Anthropic injunction on appeal by September 30, 2026?
5% chance
Will the Supreme Court rule against disparate impact by Dec 31 2026?
54% chance
Will the US Supreme Court issue a preliminary or permanent injunction halting Tariffs on China?
18% chance
Will the US Appeals Court issue a preliminary or permanent injunction halting Tariffs on China?
20% chance